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<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%; font-family: \'Times New Roman\',\'serif\';\">ABSTRACT&nbsp;:</span></strong></p>
<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%; font-family: \'Times New Roman\',\'serif\';\">Human fertility behavior is responsible for population growth and it is also responsible for infant mortality. These factors are highly responsible for development of nation and puts extra pressure on the economy of nation. Cognizant of these inherent problems, researchers, scientists and demographers have given high priority to a thorough understanding of the differential and determinants of fertility through mathematical and statistical methodologies.</span></p>
<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%; font-family: \'Times New Roman\',\'serif\';\">In renewal theory approach, it is well known that the limiting forms of the probability density function of backward recurrence time and forward recurrence time which are similar to open birth interval and forward birth interval are identical on the assumption that the renewal densities do not change over time.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">&nbsp; </span>The forward birth interval defined as the time between the survey date and the date of next birth posterior to the survey date. Forward birth interval is a good index for current change in fertility behavior.</span></p>
<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%; font-family: \'Times New Roman\',\'serif\';\">The present model has been derived on the assumption that females are not exposed to the risk of conception immediately after the termination of Post-Partum Amenorrhea (PPA). However they may be exposed to the risk of conception at different point of time after the termination of PPA because of some socio-cultural factors or contraceptive practices. In this probability model for forward birth interval regardless of parity assuming that renewal density does not change over time and females are exposed to the risk of conception at different point of time.</span></p>
<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%; font-family: \'Times New Roman\',\'serif\';\">In this model, fecundability (&lambda;) and the duration of time from the point of termination of PPA to the state of exposure as random variable which follows exponential distribution. The maximum likelihood estimation technique has been used for the estimation of parameter (&lambda;) through derived model.</span></p>
<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%; font-family: \'Times New Roman\',\'serif\';\">Key words: Fecundability, Birth Interval, Post-Partum Amenorrhea, Contraceptive Practices. </span></strong></p>