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Optimization of Extreme-Weather Forecasting Systems in Developing Nations

Author Affiliations

  • 1School of Mechanical and Building Sciences, VIT University, Vellore, INDIA
  • 2 Department of Aerospace Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Illinois, USA

Int. Res. J. Earth Sci., Volume 3, Issue (4), Pages 27-35, April,25 (2015)

Abstract

Severe weather events torment the developing world each year crippling their already fragile infrastructure – resulting in innumerable casualties. Advances in numerical modeling have greatly enhanced the capability to accurately forecast weather using personal computers. The recent Uttarakhand cloud-burst of 2013 in India, prompted us to re-evaluate the entire framework of the weather alert systems currently in place in developing nations. We propose an efficient forecast-alert system in developing nations based on advances in mesoscale weather forecasting. With the active involvement of local educational institutions in weather prediction, faster dissemination of alerts can be achieved. This can be made time-effective by optimizing parameters within numerical weather prediction models. Such a strategy extended across the developing world can yield expeditious forecasts ensuring prompt evacuation and thereby saving countless lives

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