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Lentil production in Nepal: analysis of trends, instability and decomposition (1989-2019)

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Author Affiliations

  • 1Agriculture and Forestry University (AFU), Chitwan, Nepal
  • 2Agriculture and Forestry University (AFU), Chitwan, Nepal
  • 3Agriculture and Forestry University (AFU), Chitwan, Nepal
  • 4Monitoring and Evaluation Expert, TCF to ADS, MOALD/Government of Nepal

Res. J. Agriculture & Forestry Sci., Volume 10, Issue (4), Pages 27-34, October,8 (2022)

Abstract

Lentil is a nutritive and an economic pulse crop throughout the globe. Nepal is among the top five producer of lentil after Canada, India, Australia and Turkey with 4.38% of global share. This study was based on the secondary data retrieved from FAOSTAT pertaining for the period of 30 years (1989-2019A.D.) and undertaken to know the pace of lentil growth in Nepal analyzing compound annual growth rate (CAGR), instability and decomposition analysis. The overall growth (CAGR) of 30 years for area, production and yield of Nepalese lentil is 1.85%, 4.14% and 2.25% respectively. Result showed positive growth in area, production and yield in all four-time period in between 1989 to 2019. During the entire period, low instability was found, wherever, production showed highest variation (9.30%) compared to area (6.55%) and yield (7.77%). Trend and instability results showed positive growth and lower instability in Nepalese lentil. The decomposition analysis for the period revealed that the area and yield effects were 39.84 per cent and 30.89 per cent respectively; and interaction effect found 29.27 per cent. The area effect 39.84% was found mostly responsible in increasing lentil production with yield effect of 30.89%. Both area and productivity were found influential factor responsible for increased production of lentil in the country. Expansion of area with high yielding varieties and improved package of practice is highly recommended.

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